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	<title>Dave Enjoys &#187; telecommunications</title>
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		<title>The Coming Cell Apocalypse.</title>
		<link>http://www.daveenjoys.com/2011/05/08/the-coming-cell-apocalypse/</link>
		<comments>http://www.daveenjoys.com/2011/05/08/the-coming-cell-apocalypse/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 May 2011 03:06:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>davemackey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[finances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[household]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[productivity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[at&t]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cellular network]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet Protocol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iphone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile phone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[telecommunications]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[text messaging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voice over IP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wi-Fi]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.daveenjoys.com/?p=2300</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I never had a cell phone till six years ago when I began working for <a href="http://www.collages.net/">Collages.net</a> as a <a class="zem_slink" title="System administrator" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/System_administrator">Systems Administrator</a>. I somehow managed to live through my teenage years and my college career without one&#8230;but now I wonder how I ever survived without one?</p> <p>The good news is, since [...]]]></description>
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<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 260px"><a href="http://www.crunchbase.com/product/iphone"><img title="Image representing iPhone as depicted in Crunc..." src="http://www.daveenjoys.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/19797v1-max-250x2501.jpg" alt="Image representing iPhone as depicted in Crunc..." width="250" height="195" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Image via CrunchBase</p></div>
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<p>I never had a cell phone till six years ago when I began working for <a href="http://www.collages.net/">Collages.net</a> as a <a class="zem_slink" title="System administrator" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/System_administrator">Systems Administrator</a>. I somehow managed to live through my teenage years and my college career without one&#8230;but now I wonder how I ever survived without one?</p>
<p>The good news is, since IT folks are generally &#8220;on-call&#8221; officially or unofficially<sup>[<a href="#the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-1" class="footnoted" id="to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-1">1</a>]</sup> I haven&#8217;t usually had to pay for my cell service &#8211; it is one of the few perks of being always on-call&#8230;they want to be able to reach you<sup>[<a href="#the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-2" class="footnoted" id="to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-2">2</a>]</sup>.</p>
<p>When I went to work at <a href="http://www.pbu.edu/">PBU</a> I gave Charity (my beautiful wife!) my old <a class="zem_slink" title="IPhone" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPhone">iPhone</a> 3G and now have a Verizon Droid 2. Each month we get the bill for Charity&#8217;s iPhone and it is painful! Almost painful enough that I&#8217;d say, &#8220;Let&#8217;s take you back to  dumb phone.&#8221; But not quite. Why note?</p>
<ol>
<li>Charity is a really, really wonderful woman and deserves a smartphone.</li>
<li>We run extremely hectic lives and staying coordinated with one another and with others is greatly facilitated through our use of our smartphones.</li>
<li>We don&#8217;t have a home telephone (or television/cable), so I figure its a fair trade-off.</li>
</ol>
<p>So how much does it cost to have a smartphone these days? Around $80/mo. &#8211; if you go with a major provider like <a class="zem_slink" title="AT&amp;T" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AT%26T">AT&amp;T</a> or Verizon and aren&#8217;t on a business plan<sup>[<a href="#the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-3" class="footnoted" id="to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-3">3</a>]</sup>! It feels a bit like highway robbery!</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t get me wrong&#8230;I&#8217;m not someone who minds paying a premium for a good service, and in fact there is only one part of the provider&#8217;s plan that really ticks me off:</p>
<p>We get charged for both a data and a text messaging plan. For anyone who doesn&#8217;t know &#8211; text messaging is data. There is no reason why we should be charged separately for these two separate plans &#8211; just give us a reasonable limit on our data plan and then figure the texts into that data plan usage.</p>
<p>The only reason I can see for the providers not to do this is that text messages take up basically no data and thus they would lose a lot of money as the texts would usually easily fit in with a smartphone&#8217;s existing data plan limits.</p>
<p>When you break a plan down into its component parts it looks something like this:</p>
<ul>
<li>$40/mo. for 450 minutes &#8211; okay, that isn&#8217;t bad imho.</li>
<li>$15/mo. for 200 MB data &#8211; okay, you are robbing me blind&#8230;but i&#8217;m okay with this&#8230;</li>
<li>$15/mo. for 1500 text messages &#8211; wait a second&#8230;i thought i was already paying you for data&#8230;oh, that&#8217;s right I am!</li>
</ul>
<p>But wait&#8230;What did I mean about a cell apocalypse? No, I&#8217;m not talking about the potential merger of AT&amp;T and T-<a class="zem_slink" title="Mobile phone" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mobile_phone">Mobile</a> (yes, I&#8217;m hoping this merger fails miserably&#8230;), I am talking about the convergence of technology toward <a class="zem_slink" title="Internet Protocol" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_Protocol">IP based</a> networking. Let me explain&#8230;</p>
<p>Traditionally, voice and <a class="zem_slink" title="Computer networking" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computer_networking">data communications</a> have operated via two different technologies. Voice is analog, data is digital. But as technology has progressed voice has moved towards data. Data communications are largely based on the IP (Internet Protocol) technology and now voice communications are being built on a similar technology&#8230;ohhh, and this reminds me of the other reason I&#8217;m an unhappy camper: my bill should be for just one thing &#8211; data usage.</p>
<p>See, one can already use voice communications over IP. This is what <a class="zem_slink" title="Voice over IP" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voice_over_IP">VoIP</a> is, Skype is, and all those other free calling apps you can get for your computer and smartphone. These apps utilize the data networks to avoid the traditional phone networks &#8211; which have all sorts of charges for terminating calls and so on.</p>
<p>Right now phone companies could simplify our bills down to just one charge &#8211; our data (whether that is voice, video, web, or text &#8211; it is all data) &#8211; but an artificial distinction between technologies allows for higher prices.</p>
<p>So, the coming cell apocalypse is simply this: the emergence of devices which will utilize a data network for all types of communications. Significant movements in this direction occurred first with the revelation of the iPhone and then with the Android. These phones are so intelligent and controlled so much by the device manufacturer rather than the cell provider that they have brought us leaps and bounds closer to unified communications over IP<sup>[<a href="#the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-4" class="footnoted" id="to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-4">4</a>]</sup>. Where the real change will occur though is as the world is blanketed in <a class="zem_slink" title="Wi-Fi" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wi-Fi">WiFi</a> hotspots and as these hotspots become reliable enough to provide coverage without failure across the world &#8211; at least to the extent that <a class="zem_slink" title="Cellular network" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cellular_network">cellular networks</a> are available in the same place. As this happens we&#8217;ll see a movement where phones utilize these existing networks for data access rather than the cellular networks and with this <strong>the need for cellular networks will no longer exist!</strong> Yes, there is coming a day in which cellular providers will be a thing of the past&#8230;</p>
<p>That is, unless they choose to become part of this new technology evolution and undergo a radical shift in emphasis and method&#8230;which is doubtful. This would be (a) very risky, (b) reduce revenues, and (c) be unpalatable to shareholders<sup>[<a href="#the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-5" class="footnoted" id="to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-5">5</a>]</sup>&#8230;but it is the only hope the cellular providers have of surviving long-term. The providers must choose between two painful roads:</p>
<p>1. Stay the same and milk us in the short-term for all we are worth but at some point face a rapid deterioration and eventual unsustainability and bankruptcy.</p>
<p>2. Change the course radically and experience a sharp decline in immediate revenues but sustainability over the long-haul, with ongoing revenues for the foreseeable future.</p>
<p>This shift is similar to what must occur in the television and movie industries &#8211; if the traditional companies expect to survive (and what companies like Blockbuster and Hollywood Video failed to embrace with tragic results).</p>
<p>The end result is inevitable &#8211; unified data communications. Unfortunately for consumers, this desired end may be long delayed if cell providers continue to embrace the current revenue strategy&#8230;but eventually it will be overcome.</p>
<p>Here is to holding out that one of the few remaining independent cellular providers (e.g. Sprint) who isn&#8217;t a currently top-market player will take a gamble on the better road and force everyone to move this direction sooner than later!</p>
<h6 class="zemanta-related-title" style="font-size: 1em;">Related articles</h6>
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<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://www.circleid.com/posts/20110503_lte_insufficient_from_the_start_boingo_ipo_propitious/">LTE Insufficient from the Start, Boingo IPO Propitious</a> (circleid.com)</li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://www.knoxnews.com/news/2011/apr/27/apple-blames-bugs-storing-data-users-locations/?partner=RSS">Apple blames bugs for storing data on users&#8217; locations</a> (knoxnews.com)</li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/04/18/wireless-carriers-and-tablets-what-is-the-opportun.aspx">Wireless Carriers and Tablets: What Is the Opportunity?</a> (fool.com)</li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://www.fastcompany.com/1749639/atts-cell-phone-tower-in-a-trunk-for-disaster-zones">AT&amp;T&#8217;s Cell Phone Tower-In-A-Trunk For Disaster Zones</a> (fastcompany.com)</li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://www.pcworld.com/article/222932/sandvine_turns_to_citrix_to_cut_mobile_latency.html">Sandvine Turns to Citrix to Cut Mobile Latency</a> (pcworld.com)</li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/inventors-of-mobile-devices-texting-phones-email-voicemail-2011-3">Meet The Geniuses Behind The Cell Phone, Texting And Other Mobile Tech You Can&#8217;t Live Without</a> (businessinsider.com)</li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://gigaom.com/mobile/smart-software-saves-money-on-voice-calls-bababoo/">Smart Software Saves Money on Voice Calls: Bababoo</a> (gigaom.com)</li>
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<ol class="footnotes">
	<li class="footnote" id="the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-1"><strong><sup>[1]</sup></strong> Aka, no, you aren&#8217;t on call but yes we will still call you in the middle of the night. =) <a class="note-return" href="#to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-1">&#x21A9;</a></li>
	<li class="footnote" id="the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-2"><strong><sup>[2]</sup></strong> At all times. Yes, that includes Christmas. <a class="note-return" href="#to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-2">&#x21A9;</a></li>
	<li class="footnote" id="the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-3"><strong><sup>[3]</sup></strong> Businesses get discounts, since they bring in a number of customers. <a class="note-return" href="#to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-3">&#x21A9;</a></li>
	<li class="footnote" id="the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-4"><strong><sup>[4]</sup></strong> A discussion of the details of how these devices advanced this cause is far too large to undertake in this article, you&#8217;ll just have to trust me.  <a class="note-return" href="#to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-4">&#x21A9;</a></li>
	<li class="footnote" id="the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-5"><strong><sup>[5]</sup></strong> Who, ironically, are us&#8230;the same folks who complain about cellular service prices. <a class="note-return" href="#to-the-coming-cell-apocalypse-n-5">&#x21A9;</a></li></ol>
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		<item>
		<title>Skype &#8211; A Better Telephone?</title>
		<link>http://www.daveenjoys.com/2009/07/31/skype-a-better-telephone/</link>
		<comments>http://www.daveenjoys.com/2009/07/31/skype-a-better-telephone/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Aug 2009 02:19:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>davemackey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[household]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[chat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communications]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[landline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[telecommunications]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.daveenjoys.com/?p=303</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>These days with the ubiquitous presence of cell phones the need for traditional landlines seems to be drastically decreasing and many individuals and families are choosing to abandon landlines altogether for only cellular service. Still, cell phones aren&#8217;t a perfect solution. They generally are fairly expensive on a per minute conversation basis, have high roaming [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>These days with the ubiquitous presence of cell phones the need for traditional landlines seems to be drastically decreasing and many individuals and families are choosing to abandon landlines altogether for only cellular service. Still, cell phones aren&#8217;t a perfect solution. They generally are fairly expensive on a per minute conversation basis, have high roaming charges, and reception isn&#8217;t always amazing.</p>
<p>For me, Skype is and has been a service of great use &#8211; allowing me to move to cell-only, losing the landline, but at the same time keeping a inexpensive and constantly available alternative. Skype at its most basic is a free chat application &#8211; allowing users to converse via voice, video, and text. Where it passes far beyond many of its competitors is in its ability to call out to traditional phones (landlines and cells) and to receive calls from the same.</p>
<p>Skype offers all of this at drastically low prices. $2.95/mo. will let you call unlimited anywhere in the U.S. and Canada and $12.95/mo. will let you call unlimited to forty countries around the world. Add $60/yr. onto this and you get inbound calls with your own traditional phone number. Finally, dump on voicemail for another $20/yr. All told you are paying $116/yr. for unlimited calls within the U.S. and Canada!</p>
<p>And Skype will travel with you. Going on a vacation? Business trip? If you have your laptop and a internet connection you can make calls with your Skype.</p>
<p>Skype also offers a number of advanced features for businesses and individuals &#8211; such as normal phones that use Skype &#8211; offering traditional phone convenience without the need to use a computer (though they shouldn&#8217;t be used for emergency 911 calls). A whole ecosystem of products has grown around Skype &#8211; some of them quite advanced and feature-filled.</p>
<p>Take a look at Skype. Its free. If you want some of the premium features &#8211; it does cost, but they won&#8217;t trick you into buying anything and if you do buy a subscription from them its amazingly reasonable.</p>

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